Zuckerberg expresses concern over AI growing more intelligent, as claimed by himself
In the realm of technology, the development of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) is gaining momentum, with several prominent figures in the AI industry, including Mark Zuckerberg, predicting that ASI is imminent within this decade.
Zuckerberg, the CEO of Meta, made headlines in early 2025, claiming that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is likely to be here this decade and that Meta aims to build it open-source. This assertion comes as Meta continues to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, such as the $10 billion Hyperion data center project dedicated to superintelligence research.
However, while progress towards AGI and subsequently ASI is rapid, true AGI is still estimated to be a few decades away. According to expert surveys and broader research, a 50% probability of achieving true AGI is estimated between 2040 and 2061, with up to a 90% likelihood by 2075. Key challenges remain in areas such as transfer learning, common sense reasoning, continuous self-learning, and autonomous goal formation.
The unveiling of Google's Veo 3 video platform, while not directly related to ASI, represents part of the broader advancement in multi-modal AI systems, combining video, text, and other data sources to enhance AI capabilities. Such platforms are likely to contribute incremental steps towards more general and autonomous AI systems capable of reasoning and planning.
The potential future implications of ASI development are profound and wide-ranging. ASI is expected to enable AI to improve all existing systems autonomously, transforming sectors from business to science. However, the rapid advancement also heightens geopolitical stakes, with countries like the U.S. and China racing to develop superintelligent systems that can outperform human cognition. The first to achieve ASI could dominate global power structures, raising concerns about security and ethics.
Despite the enthusiasm, skepticism persists about whether current AI progress will reach true ASI soon or if the field faces an "AI bubble" that could burst if promised productivity gains are not realized.
In summary, while Zuckerberg and others assert ASI is "now in sight," expert consensus hedges that AGI and ASI remain challenging goals likely unfolding over the next two to four decades. As AI systems evolve from statistical models toward genuine superintelligence, they are set to revolutionize technology, society, and global power dynamics.
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