XRP's unusual MVRV indicator suggests potential price surge beyond $4?
In the cryptocurrency market, XRP is making headlines as a bullish technical indicator, the MVRV golden cross, has recently appeared. This event, historically preceding significant price surges for XRP, suggests a strong bullish momentum for the digital asset.
The MVRV golden cross occurs when the short-term MVRV ratio moves above the long-term MVRV, signaling that the market value surpasses the realized value and indicating increasing investor demand and optimism. This pattern has proven to be a powerful predictor in XRP's recent performance.
In the past year, this rare golden cross has appeared three times for XRP, each time followed by notable price rallies. For instance, in November 2024, XRP surged by approximately 630%, breaking above $2 and $3 resistance levels. In July 2025, it led to a 54% price increase, reaching a yearly high near $3.66.
Market analysts like Ali Martinez foresee the current golden cross potentially driving XRP to much higher price targets—some mention a range between $22 and $25—especially boosted by improved market sentiment after the resolution of Ripple's SEC lawsuit and growing institutional interest.
At press time, XRP traded at $3.32, holding above key supports. The digital asset is currently near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $3.30, with immediate resistance at $3.46 and $3.66. Recent rejections near the 0.786 level at $3.46 suggest supply pressure remains.
If XRP can clear the $3.46 resistance level with substantial buying pressure, historical patterns suggest the token could be on track for another major rally in the coming weeks. A clean breakout above $3.46 and $3.66 could pave the way toward $4.23.
The MACD line is above the signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. The $3.40 zone may act as the next breakout trigger. It's worth noting that dense liquidity clusters exist between $3.40 and $3.48, suggesting a breakout above this range could trigger significant market reactions.
However, experts caution that such patterns are not foolproof predictors across all market conditions. Nonetheless, the combination of this technical indicator with favorable legal and market dynamics creates a robust setup for a potential bullish rally in the near term.
In addition, short-term price action indicates a shift in market sentiment. Shorts faced losses of $3.03 million while longs faced losses of $290K, forcing bearish traders to buy back positions. This reversal in positions suggests a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment among market participants.
The MVRV ratio, which tracks the relationship between market value and realized value, helps gauge undervaluation or overvaluation. XRP's NVT Ratio has plunged by 46.1% in the past 24 hours, dropping to 95.88. Lower NVT values indicate higher transaction efficiency and stronger on-chain activity, which can often precede bullish price action.
In conclusion, the recent MVRV golden cross in XRP's price, combined with improving on-chain efficiency and a shift in market sentiment, strengthens the bullish outlook for XRP. However, market participants will still look for confirmation through sustained transaction growth in the coming sessions.
- The MVRV golden cross, a powerful predictor in XRP's performance, has recently occurred in the cryptocurrency market, which historically precedes significant price surges for XRP.
- Market analysts foresee the current golden cross potentially driving XRP to much higher price targets, with some mentioning a range between $22 and $25.
- If XRP can clear the $3.46 resistance level with substantial buying pressure, historical patterns suggest the token could be on track for another major rally in the coming weeks.
- The MVRV ratio helps gauge undervaluation or overvaluation, and XRP's NVT Ratio has plunged by 46.1% in the past 24 hours, indicating higher transaction efficiency and stronger on-chain activity, often preceding bullish price action.
