Prediction by VanEck: Bitcoin Value to Reach $180,000 by Year's End
VanEck Predicts Bitcoin to Reach $180,000 by Year-End 2025, But a Correction May Occur
In a report published in mid-August 2025, investment management firm VanEck predicted that the price of Bitcoin could reach $180,000 by the end of the year. This forecast is based on several bullish indicators, including strong institutional demand, record network mining activity, and favorable market structure signals.
According to the report, over 126,000 BTC were bought by ETFs and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) in July 2025, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs holding around $151.9 billion in assets after net inflows of $54.97 billion. This influx of institutional investment signals a strong confidence in the digital asset.
The report also highlights that CME futures funding hit 9%, the call/put options ratio surged to 3.21x (the most bullish since June 2024), and the Bitcoin network hashrate reached an all-time high of 902 exahashes per second (EH/s). These factors indicate a robust and active market.
However, VanEck also points out potential risks, such as pressure on Bitcoin treasuries if volatility remains low for too long. Additionally, a 30% correction is expected, as Matt Sigel had predicted that Bitcoin would reach $180,000 in the first quarter of 2025.
The surge in minting of ordinals on the Bitcoin blockchain has resulted in a 43% 30-day growth, totaling 109,779. The implementation to remove the 83-byte-per-block limit for arbitrary information will come into effect for Bitcoin Core nodes in October.
VanEck also notes a decline in the mNAVs of certain companies, including MicroStrategy (MSTR), MicroStrategy Incorporated (MTPLF), and Square, Inc. (SMLR), with specific percentages of decrease (-16%, -62%, -12%). The total amount of Bitcoin held on public treasury companies' balance sheets is 951,000.
Furthermore, VanEck predicts a potential volatility spike, which can amplify price swings via dealer hedging. The firm also expects a further decline in DATs' mNAVs due to their limited ability to raise capital due to a long period of low volatility.
In summary, while a correction is expected, VanEck maintains a firm and bullish prediction that Bitcoin will reach $180,000 by the end of 2025, driven mainly by institutional demand, robust network activity, and favorable market dynamics.
[1] VanEck report, August 2025 [2] CoinDesk article, August 2025 [3] Bloomberg article, August 2025 [4] Reuters article, August 2025
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